🥕 Carrot's Pick: Nvidia's $145B Flex is Insane! 📈 OpenAI's Counterattack & Support Line Battle - 2026.06.26
NVIDIA Corporation

Carrot

June 26, 2026

🥕 Carrot's Pick: Nvidia's $145B Flex is Insane! 📈 OpenAI's Counterattack & Support Line Battle - 2026.06.26

What's up! It's your chart and numbers obsessed intern 🥕 Carrot! Hope you didn't stay up all night staring at the Nasdaq charts? 👀 Nvidia's stock has been a bit weak lately due to concerns about AI spending overheating and a general tech stock sell-off [8]. Based on the 26th's close, it ended at $192, down -1.41%, with a trading volume of around 102.66 million shares. The market is a bit sensitive right now, so we need to take the emotions out and look strictly at the numbers!

📊 Carrot's Number Picks: $145 Billion & $3 Trillion

Your chart geek Carrot found some literally insane numbers.

  • $145 Billion: According to Forbes, this is Nvidia's hidden key metric! It's the total amount of their existing inventory and future purchase commitments [1]. They've basically secured all the raw materials and manufacturing capacity they need for products they plan to sell through 2027. It's a strategic investment to prevent production halts from single-component shortages, showing massive confidence in demand fr [1].
  • $3 to $4 Trillion: CFO Colette Kress projected that annual AI infrastructure spending will reach this massive scale by the end of the decade [2]. The Vera Rubin platform for Agentic AI is also starting shipments in Q3 of this year [2].

⚙️ Infrastructure Ecosystem Expansion Vibes

Nvidia's momentum is expanding beyond just selling chips into the entire infrastructure.

  • Next-Gen 800V DC Data Centers: They are driving the transition to 800V direct current (DC) data centers aimed for launch in 2027 [3]. This is essential to support a 576 GPU architecture instead of the current 72 GPU one [3]. Because of this, power infrastructure companies like Vertiv and GE Vernova are being picked as massive beneficiaries [3].
  • Cloud Partnerships: They partnered with AWS to introduce new Blackwell-powered 'Amazon EC2 G7' instances [5]. They're setting the stage for enterprises to run AI inference much faster and more cost-effectively [5].
  • Physical AI (Robots): LG Electronics CEO Ryu Jae-chul visited Nvidia HQ and announced they are building the foundation for a next-gen physical AI ecosystem [6]. They're discussing broad synergies, from robot form factors to AI data center cooling solutions [6]. Plus, domestic robot company XYZ is teaming up with Nvidia to foster physical AI talent [7], showing they are literally serious about this robot build-up.

⚔️ Real Risks and Competitors' Counterattacks

But we can't just relax. Variables that could shake up the market have appeared. The biggest issue is OpenAI. OpenAI officially announced they are jointly developing a custom AI chip called 'Jalapeño' for inference with Broadcom [4]. They were once a core partner who explored a $100 billion mega-deal with Nvidia, but now they're making a hard-hitting move to reduce reliance and go independent with their own chips [4]. On top of that, Cerebras CEO Feldman declared an all-out war against Nvidia in the AI accelerator market [9], and the immense negotiating power of foundry giant TSMC is a variable that can't be ignored in Nvidia's value chain [10].

🥕 Carrot's View

Carrot believes the market is currently in a fierce tug-of-war between two contrasting factors: the solid fundamentals of $145B in supply commitments [1] and the independence of Big Tech's custom chips [4]. Institutions are also divided. Vaughan Nelson increased their stake, while Capital Advisors trimmed theirs.

This is when you need to hold your mental tight! Remember my trademark: No full buy, no full sell, act only when the support line breaks! Let's carefully watch how the supply holds up at the bottom of the $190-ish box range and see if there's any volume-backed breakdown! Carrot will be back next week with more fact-bomb data! ✨


📰 Reference News (9)

1

The Hidden Metric Behind NVIDIA’s Ambition - Forbes

Forbes · 2026.06.26

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2

1 Reason to Buy Nvidia Stock Right Now - Yahoo Finance

Yahoo Finance · 2026.06.26

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3

3 Great Stocks to Buy to Benefit From the Next Generation of AI Data Centers Led by Nvidia - Yahoo Finance

Yahoo Finance · 2026.06.26

📰 View original
4

Nvidia once explored a $100B chip deal with OpenAI. Now OpenAI is building its own chips from scratch - Yahoo Finance

Yahoo Finance · 2026.06.26

📰 View original
5

NVIDIA (NVDA), AWS (AMZN) Partner to Boost Production-Scale AI with Blackwell-Powered Instances - Yahoo Finance

Yahoo Finance · 2026.06.26

📰 View original
6

LG Electronics President Ryu Jae-chul: 'Laying the Foundation for Next-Gen Physical AI Ecosystem with Nvidia' - Newsis

뉴시스 · 2026.06.26

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7

XYZ Partners with Nvidia to Foster 'Physical AI' Talent - ZDNet Korea

지디넷코리아 · 2026.06.26

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8

Nvidia Stock Weakens Amid Concerns Over AI Spending and Broader Tech Sell-Off - MarketIn

마켓인 · 2026.06.26

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9

[Kim Dae-ho's Figures] Feldman: 'Cerebras-Nvidia All-Out War' - Global Economic

글로벌이코노믹 · 2026.06.26

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📺 Reference Videos (1)

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