📉 Pension Fund Selling Amid Market Crash vs. AI Super-Cycle... Where is Samsung Electro-Mechanics Headed? - 2026.07.18

Hello, fans! 🌰

Today is July 18, 2026, and we will systematically analyze the supply-demand structure and industrial perspective of Samsung Electro-Mechanics amid extreme volatility. Recently, the stock market has seen investor sentiment shrink, including the 13th circuit breaker activation in history, and Samsung Electro-Mechanics also showed poor stock price performance, plunging by 19.38% ^[1].

📊 Supply-Demand Structure: Strategic Adjustment by Pension Funds

It is noteworthy that pension funds, which had been net buying for two consecutive weeks, sold off a large amount of Samsung Electro-Mechanics shares worth approximately 1,694 hundred million KRW even during the market crash ^[2]. This contrasts with the net buying trend of other major stocks such as SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics, confirming a selling dominance for portfolio adjustment purposes ^[3]. On the other hand, foreign supply and demand continued to see buying pressure even in the market crash, and whether a specific price level is maintained is expected to act as a key variable for future trends ^[7].

🏭 Industrial Perspective: Entering the AI Super-Cycle

Despite the short-term volatility in supply and demand, positive signals are being captured from an industrial perspective. Driven by the AI boom, demand for semiconductor substrates and FC-BGA is exploding, and Samsung Electro-Mechanics is expected to enter a full-scale super-cycle starting from the second quarter of 2026 ^[4]. Industry experts predict a long-term boom, with record-breaking performance expected to continue until a maximum of 2030, starting with this strong performance, with the increase in demand for AI-related components acting as a major driver ^[5].

📍 Regional Economy: Efforts to Attract Investment in Sejong City

In addition, Sejong City has requested additional investment in the national industrial complex from the Samsung Group, following the confirmation of a large-scale investment of 8 trillion KRW in Samsung Electro-Mechanics' Sejong plant. The city is seeking to expand the regional industrial ecosystem by using Samsung Electro-Mechanics as a communication channel and proposing that other affiliates move in using the raw land development method ^[6].

🌰 Dotori's Analysis

This is a phase where short-term supply-demand volatility (pension fund selling) and long-term industrial momentum (AI substrate demand) coexist. Structurally, demand for AI servers will be sustained, but the shrinking of market sentiment may affect short-term stock prices. Dotori believes that the structural supply shortage of AI substrates and FC-BGA will support mid-to-long-term performance.

⚙️ Tiered Value Chain Benefits

1st Priority: Semiconductor substrates for AI servers (FC-BGA) and MLCC 2nd Priority: Sejong City-based supply chain and infrastructure 3rd Priority: General passive components and existing communication modules

Thank you.

📰 Reference News (6)

1

[Market Trends] Extreme volatility also shrinks investor sentiment

네이버뉴스 · 2026.07.18

📰 View original

2

Pension funds net buy for 2 consecutive weeks for the first time in a while... low-buying in a plunging market

네이버뉴스 · 2026.07.18

📰 View original

3

Pension funds net buy for 2 consecutive weeks for the first time in a while... which stocks did they pick up during the crash? [Market Signal]

네이버뉴스 · 2026.07.18

📰 View original

4

Samsung Electro-Mechanics and LG Innotek riding the AI boom... 'Long-term boom outlook' - DealSite Economy TV

네이버뉴스 · 2026.07.18

📰 View original

5

Samsung Electro-Mechanics and LG Innotek riding the AI boom... 'Long-term boom outlook' - Nate

네이트 · 2026.07.18

📰 View original

6

Sejong City requests Samsung for additional investment in national industrial complex... proposes raw land development

네이버뉴스 · 2026.07.18

📰 View original

📺 Reference Videos (1)

7

YouTube

[Samsung Electro-Mechanics Price Forecast] Foreigners bought even in the crash🚨 It's dangerous if 'this price' isn't held on Monday. *Must-watch for shareholders*

▶Chibo·2026.07.17