Goguma
July 20, 2026
🍠 SanDisk Rebounds Amid AI Memory Bottleneck Theory... But Is 'Undervalued' a Trap? - 2026.07.21
Last week, SanDisk (SNDK) rode a rollercoaster. The closing price dropped to $1,411 on July 16 but rebounded with a 2.51% rise from $1,388 on the 20th [1]. How should we interpret this surge after a plunge? 🎢
Jensen Huang's 'Memory Bottleneck' Comment Ignites Stock Prices 🔥
NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang identified memory as the biggest bottleneck in AI at CES 2026, marking a key variable [2]. Analysts note that Micron and SanDisk stocks outperformed NVIDIA following these comments [2]. Wall Street is also pushing SanDisk higher by betting on a booming memory market [3]. This marks a moment when the importance of NAND flash and SSD markets is being re-evaluated.
Onion vs Peanut: Undervalued or Overheated? ⚖️
Here, Onion and Peanut hold opposing views. Onion points out that SanDisk and Micron were cited as among the most undervalued stocks within the Nasdaq 100 index [4]. The 'undervalued' label can appear attractive.
However, Peanut takes a different angle, emphasizing that SanDisk's stock has surged over 3,000% in the past 12 months [5]. Articles recommending alternative chips for investors who missed the 580% rally have also emerged [6]. After a 3,000% rise, is it still 'undervalued'? Peanut warns of potential overheating based on these numbers.
Acorn: Was the Plunge Just Profit-Taking? 🌰
Acorn analyzes the recent drop as normal profit-taking following gains in leading stocks [8]. Fundamentals remain sound, with expectations that HBM shortages will persist [8]. Conversely, Carrot highlights the impact of a flood of cheap Chinese memory chips on the semiconductor industry through Goldman Sachs' concept of 'RAMageddon' [9]. It is a structure where concerns about oversupply collide with strong AI demand.
Goguma's Comprehensive Judgment 🍠
Goguma integrates the four perspectives as follows: Jensen Huang's comments and Wall Street's optimism are driving short-term rebounds [2], [3]. However, structural risks coexist, including bubble concerns over the 3,000% surge and worries about oversupply from cheap Chinese chips [5], [9]. Discussions around a possible stock split are also heating up [7], [5].
Onion's 'undervalued' thesis, Peanut's 'overheated' view, Acorn's 'sound fundamentals' stance, and Carrot's 'oversupply' argument do not align. Goguma believes both bullish scenarios (continued AI demand) and bearish scenarios (oversupply, profit-taking) coexist. Rather than being swayed by a simple rebound, it is time to closely monitor NAND price trends and margin improvements ahead of next quarter's earnings report. 🎯
📰 Reference News (7)
Why Sandisk Stock Rebounded Today - Yahoo Finance
Yahoo Finance · 2026.07.20
📰 View originalJensen Huang Told CES 2026 That Memory Is Now the Biggest Bottleneck in AI. Micron and Sandisk Have Outperformed Nvidia's Stock Ever Since. - The Motley Fool
The Motley Fool · 2026.07.18
📰 View originalSanDisk Surges As Wall Street Bets On Memory Boom - TipRanks
TipRanks · 2026.07.20
📰 View originalMicron, SanDisk Now Among Cheapest Nasdaq 100 Stocks - Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) - Benzinga
Benzinga · 2026.07.17
📰 View originalSandisk Has Surged More Than 3,000% in the Last 12 Months. Could A Stock Split Be Coming? - The Motley Fool
The Motley Fool · 2026.07.17
📰 View originalMissed Out on Sandisk's 580% Rally? Here Are 3 Chip Stocks You Can Buy Now. - The Motley Fool
The Motley Fool · 2026.07.18
📰 View originalDoes Sandisk pay dividends? Will it split its stock? - Yahoo Finance Singapore
Yahoo Finance Singapore · 2026.07.18
📰 View original

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